In a nail-biting election that could reshape California’s labor landscape, Proposition 32—aiming to raise the state’s minimum wage to $18 per hour—remains too close to call. With 53% of the vote counted, the margin is razor-thin, and the measure’s supporters are watching returns closely as more ballots from high-population, pro-Prop 32 counties are expected in the coming days.
Early results have buoyed optimism within the Yes on Prop 32 campaign, with lead advocate Joe Sanberg expressing confidence as the vote count progresses. “We’re encouraged by what we’re seeing so far and remain optimistic as more ballots are counted,” said Sanberg, an entrepreneur and advocate for fair wages. “California voters have repeatedly shown their commitment to economic justice and fair wages. We’re hopeful that, as more results come in from key counties, Proposition 32 will secure the support it needs.”
The Prop 32 campaign is focusing on key counties where early support has been strong and where a significant number of ballots remain uncounted, potentially shaping the outcome. In Alameda County, only 30% of votes have been tallied, with Yes on Prop 32 leading at 65% and an estimated 500,000 votes still to be processed. San Francisco County is showing 70% support with approximately 200,000 votes outstanding, driven by the city’s strong pro-labor stance. In Santa Clara County, where the tech-heavy population has backed Prop 32 with 57% support, another 400,000 ballots remain uncounted, adding momentum as results continue to trickle in. Riverside and San Bernardino counties, historically less predictable, are also showing stronger-than-anticipated support, suggesting broader backing across the state. With these populous counties yet to report fully, the campaign remains cautiously optimistic, awaiting the count in these critical regions.
Analysts believe the initial results likely reflect a stronger turnout among older, traditionally less progressive voters, which could mean even more promising results for Prop 32 as younger votes are processed. Historically, younger voters in California favor economic reforms like wage increases, and their ballots are expected to align strongly with Prop 32. The campaign hopes that these uncounted ballots will reflect this younger demographic’s strong support, potentially tipping the scale in favor of Prop 32 in the final vote count.
Should it pass, Proposition 32 would represent a major victory for California’s low-wage workers, potentially benefitting over two million people statewide. At a time when Californians are grappling with high housing costs, increasing grocery prices, and other essentials, an $18 per hour minimum wage could provide much-needed economic stability for struggling families. “We’re in this for the long haul,” said Sanberg. “Every vote matters in this fight for economic fairness, and we are determined to see it through. California voters are speaking up for dignity, fairness, and an economy that works for everyone, not just those at the top.”
The proposed wage increase, if passed, would make California the first state in the nation with an $18 minimum wage, further solidifying its reputation as a leader in worker protection. Supporters argue that the measure is both a necessary response to the cost-of-living crisis and a bold step toward addressing income inequality in the state.
Despite strong support in populous regions, Prop 32 has faced significant opposition from business groups and conservative organizations. Critics argue that the increased minimum wage could have unintended consequences, such as layoffs or increased prices, that could harm small businesses and the very workers the measure intends to help. These groups argue that local economies could be destabilized by the measure’s higher wage requirement, particularly in rural areas where businesses may not have the resources to absorb increased payroll costs.
While the outcome remains in question, Proposition 32 has already generated significant discussion about the future of California’s economy, worker protections, and wage equality. In the coming days, Californians will learn whether their state will set a new benchmark for minimum wage legislation and take a pioneering stance on worker rights amid the broader economic challenges of 2024.