TIJUANA, B.C.- Dr. Ismael Plascencia, Economic Advisor of the CCE (Business Coordinating Council) in Tijuana, led the virtual session Economic Outlook 2021: Towards a Post-Covid19 era. In it, some of the key elements for the coming years were clarified both at the global, national, and state levels in a digital era, as well as proposals for recovery.
Plascencia highlighted worldwide there is a relationship between the socioeconomic level and the fatal cases of infected, that is, the homeless, unemployed, poor, imprisoned, without food security, and those who live in homes with high levels of stress are more vulnerable related to violence and crime.
According to the quarterly report of the Bank of Mexico, which was presented in November 2020 and covers the quarter from July to September, after a severe contraction in the second quarter, there was already a recovery for the third quarter, this before the reopening of different productive activities, however, a high degree of uncertainty persists for the following quarter.
Plascencia added, according to this report, a strong contraction of GDP and a gradual recovery in 2021 are still anticipated. Among the industrial activities that decreased the most were mining (22.3%), manufacturing (49.7%), construction (23.3%), transportation (14%), commerce (28.8%), and financial and real estate (23.8%), this at the national level.
Forecasts and considerations
Dr. Ismael Plascencia pointed out that there will be a recovery of the economy, with levels prior to the pandemic, after 2022, in such a way, in an environment of uncertainty regarding inflation and investment in the country, coupled with a deterioration of oil revenues.
He highlighted some of the skills that need to be promoted in companies and universities, for better recovery in the state are analytical thinking and innovation, active learning, complex problem solving, creativity, leadership, use of technologies, design and programming, resilience, stress tolerance and flexibility, as well as a decrease in the gender gap and inclusion.
Additionally, by 2025 50 percent of employees are expected to retrain and acquire new skills. Among the top-paying new jobs are some BigData, Software, DevOps, Systems, Data Engineers, Application, Data, Web page developers and architects, as well as security analysts.
On the other hand, in terms of remote work or home office, it is thought that hybrid systems will be implemented between the office and remote work. He highlighted the transformation of many jobs towards digital services, which will be essential for their preservation.